Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.87% | 19.97% | 65.15% |
Both teams to score 51.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.85% | 43.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.45% | 65.54% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% | 41.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% | 77.97% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.54% | 12.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.6% | 38.4% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.55% 2-1 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.87% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 11.2% 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 6.85% 0-4 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-5 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.57% 1-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.32% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |