Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
71.48% | 16.57% | 11.95% |
Both teams to score 55.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.96% | 34.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.08% | 55.92% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.61% | 8.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.82% | 29.18% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.08% | 39.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.42% | 76.58% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.27% 4-1 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.58% 5-0 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 1.1% 6-0 @ 1.08% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.47% | 1-1 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 4.34% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.57% | 1-2 @ 3.5% 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |