Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%).
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
40.62% | 23.85% | 35.53% |
Both teams to score 61.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% | 40.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% | 62.67% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% | 20.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% | 52.35% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% | 22.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.78% | 56.21% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
16 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |