Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
We said: Empoli 1-2 Napoli
Though not as accurate as they would like, Napoli have attempted the most shots in Serie A this season; by contrast, Empoli have faced the second-most. That should indicate the likely direction of play at Stadio Castellani, but it may still be only one goal that splits these sides by the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6% . A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%) , while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood .
Result Empoli Draw Napoli 19.99% ( -0.32) 23.41% ( 0) 56.6% ( 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.51)
50.56% ( -0.43) 49.43% ( 0.43)
28.52% ( -0.38) 71.47% ( 0.39)
60.95% ( -0.58) 39.04% ( 0.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.23% ( -0.56) 75.76% ( 0.56)
82.74% ( -0.04) 17.26% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.41% ( -0.07) 47.59% ( 0.07)
Empoli 19.99%
Napoli 56.59%
Draw 23.41%
Empoli Draw Napoli 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.99% 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.41% 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.59%
How you voted: Empoli vs Napoli
66
rhs 2.0
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