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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Empoli logo

Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli


Freuler (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Empoli

With Atalanta's ability to capitalise on home advantage still questionable, and their visitors having gone so long without away success, it may not be a fluent affair in front of some disgruntled Bergamaschi fans. However, the hosts' need for the points is far greater, and they can edge out Empoli due to the options available to Gasperini from the bench if the outcome remains undecided in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.41% (1.415 1.42) 16.87% (-0.536 -0.54) 14.71% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 62.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63% (0.77500000000001 0.78)28.37% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.79% (0.95099999999999 0.95)49.2% (-0.949 -0.95)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.48699999999999 0.49)7.61% (-0.485 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (1.237 1.24)27.22% (-1.235 -1.24)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.524 -0.52)32.15% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.595 -0.59)68.63% (0.598 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.41%
    Empoli 14.71%
    Draw 16.87%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.187 0.19)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.157 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.17 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
84.2%
Draw
14.5%
Empoli
1.3%
76
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
May 21, 2017 2pm
Dec 20, 2016 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Kessie (74'), D'Alessandro (94')
Kurtic (38'), Gomez (53'), D'Alessandro (95')
Mchedlidze (51')
Buchel (17'), Marilungo (22'), Diousse (82'), Skorupski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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