Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Benevento |
63.53% | 20.18% | 16.29% |
Both teams to score 53.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% | 41.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% | 63.68% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% | 12.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.82% | 38.18% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.23% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Benevento |
2-0 @ 10.39% 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.53% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 4.75% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.54% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.51% 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |