Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.79% ( -0.28) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 60.58% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% ( -0.15) | 39.44% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% ( -0.16) | 61.78% ( 0.15) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( -0.15) | 15.37% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( -0.28) | 44.14% ( 0.27) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( 0.07) | 28.42% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% ( 0.09) | 64.17% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |