Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 94.74%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 1.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.76%) and 2-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.96%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (0.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
94.74% ( -0.12) | 4.17% ( 0.1) | 1.08% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 28.83% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.46% ( -0.44) | 20.53% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.15% ( -0.62) | 38.85% ( 0.62) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.95% ( -0.07) | 2.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
89.99% ( -0.26) | 10.01% ( 0.26) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
29.43% ( -0.1) | 70.57% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
4.83% ( -0.04) | 95.17% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
3-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 8-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 7-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.87% Total : 94.72% | 1-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 4.17% | Other @ 1.08% Total : 1.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |