Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
34.72% ( 0.12) | 25.95% ( 0.02) | 39.33% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.9% ( -0.04) | 50.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -0.04) | 72.07% ( 0.04) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( 0.05) | 27.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( 0.06) | 63.21% ( -0.06) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.09) | 25.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.12) | 59.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |