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St Mirren logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Motherwell logo

St Mirren
1 - 0
Motherwell

Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between St Mirren and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell

 Both teams have enjoyed a promising start to the 2023-24 season, and with the two sides brimming with confidence, we think that Saturday's encounter will be a closely-fought contest. St Mirren won their most recent home fixture against Motherwell in January, and we believe that they will utilise home advantage once again to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
32.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 25.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 41.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (0.073 0.07)49.45% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.062999999999999 0.06)71.49% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.56% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02)64.35% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)57.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 32.77%
    Motherwell 41.52%
    Draw 25.69%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.77%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.52%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Strain (24')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Main (16')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Motherwell
4-2
St Mirren
Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)
Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
St Mirren
1-1
Motherwell
Gogic (81')
Tierney (90+2')
Slattery (34')
> Preview
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