Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
61.49% ( -0.27) | 20.77% ( 0.06) | 17.73% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% ( 0.05) | 41.39% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.21% ( 0.05) | 63.79% ( -0.06) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.03% ( -0.06) | 12.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.54% ( -0.12) | 39.45% ( 0.12) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.16% ( 0.26) | 36.83% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.26) | 73.62% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |