MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 18:07:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 1.50pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
3 - 0
Istra 1961

Gorican (43'), Zilinski (61'), Mudrazija (90+2')
Krivak (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erceg (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 9 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
40.61% (0.106 0.11) 25.88% (0.052 0.05) 33.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.254 -0.25)50.02% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.229 -0.23)72% (0.229 0.23)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)24.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)58.72% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.224 -0.22)28.37% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)64.11% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 40.61%
    NK Istra 1961 33.51%
    Draw 25.88%
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.51%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Istra 1961
0-4
NK Lokomotiva

Kadusic (78'), Josipovic (86')
Soticek (22', 90+2'), Mudrazija (30'), Tuci (83')
Kanizaj (82')
Jul 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Istra 1961
Bubanja (69')
Mersinaj (74'), Milicevic (75')
Erceg (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Zagreb33236460253575
2HNK RijekaRijeka33225664253971
3Hajduk Split331941046222461
4Osijek331491058421651
5NK Lokomotiva33111484536947
6NK VarazdinVarazdin33912123642-639
7NK Istra 1961Istra 196133910143351-1837
8GoricaGorica3398163047-1735
9Slaven Koprivnica3396184060-2033
10Rudes3314281577-627


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