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Moreirense
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Boavista

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Boavista

Silva (20' pen.), Janvier (87'), Amaro (90+3')
Bamba (3'), Silva (56'), Johnston (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sasso (45+3'), Agra (71')
Sasso (17'), Tavares (52'), Makouta (52'), Lourenco (68'), Perez (74'), Camara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Boavista

Both teams have proven this year that they are good sides, but neither side scores all too often. As a result, we predict an entertaining but low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
42.62% (-1.14 -1.14) 27.67% (0.122 0.12) 29.71% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 47.31% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)58.18% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.61500000000001 -0.62)27% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.812 -0.81)62.35% (0.808 0.81)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.773 0.77)35.18% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.797 0.8)71.93% (-0.801 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.61%
    Boavista 29.71%
    Draw 27.67%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Boavista

Vitoria de Guimaraes
48.3%
Draw
31.0%
Boavista
20.7%
29
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8.15pm
Boavista
1-1
Guimaraes
Ntep (70')
Ntep (71'), Nathan (90+4')
Estupinan (25')
Mumin (33'), Bamba (45+2'), Amaro (63')
Mumin (77')
Dec 29, 2021 7pm
Guimaraes
1-1
Boavista
Estupinan (81')
Janvier (18'), Estupinan (54'), Silva (71'), Andre (75'), Mumin (88'), Rochinha (90+5')
Ilori (85')
Abascal (45+2'), Cannon (49')
Feb 26, 2021 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Boavista
Rochinha (39'), Andre (63' pen.)
Almeida (58'), Pepelu (84')
Mangas (17')
Mangas (62'), Gomes (79'), Perez (85'), Castro (90+6')
Oct 19, 2020 8.15pm
Boavista
0-1
Guimaraes

Mangas (23'), Sauer (41'), Garcia (63'), Awaziem (80')
Edwards (19')
Quaresma (3'), Fernandes (62')
Feb 2, 2020 8pm
Boavista
2-0
Guimaraes
Carraca (23'), Tavares (55')
Sauer (33'), Neris (39'), Leismann (43'), Cassiano (47'), Tavares (81')

Sacko (37'), Henrique (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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