Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Boavista | 3 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Benfica | 2 | 5 | 6 |
5 | Portimonense | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
14.79% ( 0.2) | 20.28% ( 0.16) | 64.93% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 50% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( -0.29) | 44.69% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% ( -0.28) | 67.05% ( 0.28) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.46% ( 0.1) | 42.54% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.1% ( 0.09) | 78.9% ( -0.08) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.19) | 12.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( -0.4) | 39.5% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.79% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.28% | 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 64.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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