Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | SC Farense |
64.79% | 20.78% | 14.43% |
Both teams to score 47.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% | 69.77% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% | 13.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.62% | 41.38% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.18% | 44.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.21% | 80.79% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.57% 5-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.55% Total : 64.78% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 5.01% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 2.01% 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |