Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
45.23% ( -0.07) | 26.85% ( 0.03) | 27.91% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.66% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.02% ( -0.08) | 55.98% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.92% ( -0.06) | 77.07% ( 0.06) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% ( -0.07) | 24.67% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( -0.1) | 59.19% ( 0.09) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% ( -0.01) | 35.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( -0.01) | 72.17% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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