Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.88% | 29.07% | 37.05% |
Both teams to score 44.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.86% | 62.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.16% | 81.84% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% | 34.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% | 70.97% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% | 32.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.34% | 68.66% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 12.5% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |