Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
48.98% | 27.82% | 23.2% |
Both teams to score 42.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.83% | 62.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.13% | 81.86% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% | 25.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% | 60.52% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% | 43.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.65% | 79.35% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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