Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.16% ( 0.48) | 24.51% ( -0.17) | 19.34% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( 0.26) | 54.48% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( 0.22) | 75.84% ( -0.21) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( 0.29) | 19.31% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% ( 0.47) | 51.06% ( -0.46) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.31% ( -0.19) | 42.68% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% ( -0.16) | 79.02% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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