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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Toney (65')
Norgaard (23'), Schade (55'), Janelt (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luiz (87')
Young (29'), Luiz (70')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
38.29% (0.064 0.06) 26.36% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.35% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012 -0.01)51.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.52% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.74% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 38.29%
    Aston Villa 35.35%
    Draw 26.35%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
25.3%
Draw
18.5%
Aston Villa
56.2%
233
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Brentford
1-0
Aston Villa
Maupay (91')

Hutton (40')
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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