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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Traore (48'), Watkins (90+5')
Moreno (35'), Konsa (85'), Watkins (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shelvey (36'), Awoniyi (85'), Mangala (90'), Toffolo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa continue their brilliant run of form with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
57.38% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.28% (-0.073 -0.07) 19.34% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.331 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.384 0.38)49.75% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.342 0.34)71.76% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.139 0.14)17.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.243 0.24)47.3% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.301 0.3)39.93% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.274 0.27)76.59% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 57.37%
    Nottingham Forest 19.34%
    Draw 23.28%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.37%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.34%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
88.0%
Draw
6.8%
Nottingham Forest
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Aston Villa
Dennis (15')
Aurier (18')
Young (22')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
> Match Report
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Aston Villa

Lichaj (61'), Cash (63')
Hogan (18')
Elmohamady (71'), Terry (89')
> Match Report
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Adomah (15'), Hourihane (60')
Taylor (95')
Murphy (52')
Bridcutt (42'), Brereton (59'), Mills (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


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