Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
43.35% ( -1.11) | 26.82% ( 0.14) | 29.82% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% ( -0.11) | 55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( -0.09) | 76.27% ( 0.08) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.6) | 25.16% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.84) | 59.88% ( 0.84) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 0.68) | 33.41% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 0.74) | 70.04% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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