Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Norwich City |
53.73% | 23.37% | 22.9% |
Both teams to score 54.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% | 45.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% | 68.16% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% | 16.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% | 47.11% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.14% | 70.85% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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