MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 17:20:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
4 - 1
Carrick

Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1'), Donnelly (64'), Rocks (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (41')
(82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
44.92% (0.378 0.38) 24.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 30.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)47.17% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.41% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.19799999999999 0.2)21.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.305 0.31)53.84% (-0.304 -0.3)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)29.18% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.233 -0.23)65.12% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 44.92%
    Carrick Rangers 30.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne531185216490
2LinfieldLinfield514082404285
3CliftonvilleCliftonville512280433775
4CrusadersCrusaders530261431864
5GlentoranGlentoran511374433160
6ColeraineColeraine51224769-2246
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick54015472-1850
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon55006469-547
3Loughgall52036068-845
4GlenavonGlenavon51044570-2537
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena53022970-4128
6Newry City AFC50052699-7317
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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