MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 06:31:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
1 - 0
Ballymena

Ryan (44')
O'Neill (30'), Thomson (77'), Maguire (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (30'), Nelson (88'), Henderson (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Linfield
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 8.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawBallymena United
74.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16) 16.79% (-0.136 -0.14) 8.92% (-0.023099999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.44% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (0.521 0.52)44.41% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.504 0.5)66.78% (-0.505 -0.5)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63% (0.176 0.18)10.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.13% (0.404 0.4)33.86% (-0.406 -0.41)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.34% (0.28400000000001 0.28)52.65% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.57% (0.184 0.18)86.42% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Larne 74.28%
    Ballymena United 8.92%
    Draw 16.79%
LarneDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 14.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 6% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.85% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 74.28%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-2 @ 2.89% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.79%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 8.92%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-3
Larne

Place (36'), Kelly (51')
Bonis (40'), Strain (46' og.), Ryan (73')
Ryan (25')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
3-0
Ballymena
O'Neill (42', 79'), Watson (90')
O'Neill (15'), Randall (45'), (85')

McCullough (48')
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Larne
1-3
Ballymena
Doherty (18')
Watson (57'), Doherty (64')
Parkhouse (4', 69'), Millar (58' pen.)
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-1
Larne
Keeley (58'), McElroy (75')
Winchester (26'), Barr (54'), Millar (89')
McDaid (51')
Hale (52'), Sule (56'), Randall (86'), Lynch (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-3
Larne

Loughran (30'), Winchester (38'), Keeley (53')
Randall (2', 36'), Nasseri (64')
Herron (39'), Balmer (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne531185216490
2LinfieldLinfield514082404285
3CliftonvilleCliftonville512280433775
4CrusadersCrusaders530261431864
5GlentoranGlentoran511374433160
6ColeraineColeraine51224769-2246
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick54015472-1850
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon55006469-547
3Loughgall52036068-845
4GlenavonGlenavon51044570-2537
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena53022970-4128
6Newry City AFC50052699-7317
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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