MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 20:04:13| >> :600:3899114:3899114:
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Windsor Park
Kosovo national football team

N. Ireland
2 - 1
Kosovo

Whyte (82'), Magennis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muriqi (58')
Fazliji (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-2 Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Kosovo

Given their lack of victories of late, it is difficult to back with Northern Ireland will any level of confidence. However, under pressure to avoid defeat, we feel that Baraclough's men will do just enough to earn a hard-fought share of the spoils against opponents who would also accept a point at Windsor Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawKosovo
34.93% (0.11499999999999 0.11) 26.58% (0.13 0.13) 38.48% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.537 -0.54)52.75% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.462 -0.46)74.38% (0.456 0.46)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.194 -0.19)28.81% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.24 -0.24)64.66% (0.23599999999999 0.24)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)26.72% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.516 -0.52)61.98% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 34.93%
    Kosovo 38.48%
    Draw 26.58%
Northern IrelandDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.93%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.48%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Kosovo

Northern Ireland
45.1%
Draw
28.7%
Kosovo
26.2%
122
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League C2
Kosovo
3-2
N. Ireland
Muriqi (9' pen., 52'), Bytyqi (19')
Dresevic (90'), Kastrati (90+2'), Fazliji (90+5')
Lavery (45'), Ballard (83')
Lavery (29'), Thompson (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!