MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 11:39:24| >> :600:3868826:3868826:
Malta national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Malta
1 - 2
Estonia

Hein (56' og.)
Guillaumier (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassiljev (21'), Anier (90+4')
Kait (48'), Zenjov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Malta and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malta 1-1 Estonia

We put these two sides on a relatively level playing field and struggle to pick a winner in what should be a tight encounter, instead predicting them to cancel one another out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawEstonia
43.5% (0.154 0.15) 23.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 33.05% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 62.61% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (-0.238 -0.24)39% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (-0.249 -0.25)61.32% (0.25 0.25)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)18.31% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)49.39% (0.055 0.05)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)23.36% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.318 -0.32)57.33% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malta 43.5%
    Estonia 33.05%
    Draw 23.44%
MaltaDrawEstonia
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Malta vs Estonia

Malta
56.5%
Draw
22.9%
Estonia
20.6%
131
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!