Nations League | League C
Jun 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Slovakia
With goals having been few and far between in this group, there is a feeling that this contest could go either way. However, we cannot ignore that Slovakia are by far the more reputable team here, and they have enough quality in attack to earn a hard-fought win in Mardakan.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.14%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Slovakia |
18.35% ( 0.07) | 27.56% ( 0.03) | 54.09% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 37.42% ( 0.03) |
| 34.64% ( -0.02) | 65.36% ( 0.02) |
| 15.86% ( -0.01) | 84.14% ( 0.01) |
| 49.69% ( 0.08) | 50.3% ( -0.08) |
