MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 19:27:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Chesterfield
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Wealdstone
Woking
Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 35
Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
4 - 2
Dorking

Barrett (57'), Kretzschmar (70', 73' pen.), Allarakhia (77')
Henry (64'), Allarakhia (67'), Allarakhia (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barker (46' og.), Carter (54')
Cook (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Dorking Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim the spoils in this crucial relegation six-pointer, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they could end up playing out a draw at Grosvenor Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
49.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.31% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.88% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.439 0.44)41.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.44 0.44)64.27% (-0.443 -0.44)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.173 0.17)16.96% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.307 0.31)47.05% (-0.308 -0.31)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.27600000000001 0.28)28.77% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.34 0.34)64.61% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 49.81%
    Dorking Wanderers 26.88%
    Draw 23.3%
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.88%

How you voted: Wealdstone vs Dorking

Wealdstone
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
McShane (12'), Prior (28'), Taylor (35')
Craig (48'), Gallagher (57'), McShane (78')
Bowen (58')
Barker (8'), Mundle-Smith (70')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Wealdstone
2-2
Dorking
Hutchinson (3'), Clayden (48')
Gallagher (8'), Bowerman (39')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
Seager (21'), Ottaway (70'), Bowerman (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CChesterfield4631510106654198
2Barnet462681291603186
3Bromley462215973492481
4AltrinchamAltrincham4622111384592577
5Solihull MoorsSolihull462113127162976
6Gateshead462291588642475
7Halifax TownHalifax461914135850871
8Aldershot TownAldershot46209177483-969
9Southend UnitedSouthend4621121370452565
10Oldham AthleticOldham461518136360363
11Rochdale461614166964562
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool46179207082-1260
13Eastleigh461611197387-1459
14Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead461513186067-758
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red461414186963656
16WealdstoneWealdstone461511206072-1256
17Woking461510214955-655
18Fylde461510217482-855
19Ebbsfleet461412205974-1554
20York City461217175569-1453
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood461216185973-1452
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461113224059-1946
23Dorking WanderersDorking46129255485-3145
24Oxford CityOxford City4689295494-4033


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