Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
59.64% ( 4.34) | 21.61% ( -1.39) | 18.74% ( -2.96) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% ( 2.05) | 43.53% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% ( 1.99) | 65.92% ( -1.99) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( 2.13) | 14.21% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.06% ( 4.01) | 41.94% ( -4.01) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% ( -1.84) | 36.96% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( -1.88) | 73.75% ( 1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.82) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.6) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |