Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
51.67% ( -0.41) | 22.93% ( 0.16) | 25.41% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.66% ( -0.52) | 41.35% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.26% ( -0.53) | 63.74% ( 0.53) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.33) | 16.1% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% ( -0.61) | 45.5% ( 0.61) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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