Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.