National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley2 - 0Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
50.46% ( 0.07) | 24.96% ( -0.03) | 24.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% ( 0.09) | 50.9% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% ( 0.08) | 72.78% ( -0.08) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.06) | 20.18% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( 0.1) | 52.47% ( -0.1) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( 0.02) | 35.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( 0.02) | 72.21% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chorley 50.45%
Hereford United 24.58%
Draw 24.96%
Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.58% |
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
Hereford
1-0
Chorley
Storey (81')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 10:36:48
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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