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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England

Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bou (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

 Expect the Revs to be in a foul mood after the way they lost their previous encounter, though the Union are well-equipped to handle their dangerous attacking players as they are perhaps the most structurally sound team in the league and, at the moment, are firing on all cylinders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
53.76% (-0.685 -0.68) 23.5% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.73% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 54% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.249 0.25)46.61% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.235 0.23)68.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.158 -0.16)17.26% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.272 -0.27)47.58% (0.267 0.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (0.685 0.69)34.74% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (0.719 0.72)71.47% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.76%
    New England Revolution 22.73%
    Draw 23.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
New England Revolution
15.4%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
Nov 25, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
0-2
New England

Przybylko (36'), Wagner (73')
Buksa (26'), Buchanan (30')
Polster (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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