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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net so far, so we expect goals at both ends in this one. That said, the visitors boast a significantly superior defence, and we are backing them to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
58.22% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21) 22.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 19.52% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.32% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.168 -0.17)45.2% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (-0.161 -0.16)67.55% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)15.22% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.234 -0.23)43.88% (0.235 0.23)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.1% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 58.22%
    Philadelphia Union 19.52%
    Draw 22.25%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 58.22%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
21.7%
Draw
30.4%
Philadelphia Union
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
Nov 25, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
0-2
New England

Przybylko (36'), Wagner (73')
Buksa (26'), Buchanan (30')
Polster (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Philadelphia
2-0
New England
Santos (42'), Burke (69')
Andres Martinez (86')

Farrell (31'), Bunbury (55'), Caldwell (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111
> Full Version


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