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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Orlando City
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Torres (56' pen.)
Jansson (23'), Angulo (76'), Pereyra (76'), Araujo (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reyes (6'), Barlow (49'), Amaya (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-2 New York Red Bulls

We believe that Red Bull's impressive pre-season run will extend into the MLS season with a narrow win away against Orlando. We think that this will be a close match-up and that the away side will be tested defensively in this engagement, but will score the necessary goals to edge the contest.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.88% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 26.09% (0.012 0.01) 30.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)73.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.058 -0.06)57.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27%31.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 43.88%
    New York Red Bulls 30.03%
    Draw 26.09%
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.03%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY Red Bulls

Orlando City
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Orlando City

Tolkin (12'), Casseres Jr (32')
Torres (17')
Moutinho (16')
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Mueller (59')
Urso (2'), Pereyra (41')
Casseres Jr (6')
Duncan (22'), Gomes (34'), Yearwood (57'), Barlow (90+6')
May 29, 2021 6pm
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Orlando City
Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')
Van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')
Oct 19, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Orlando City
White (90+5')
Valot (90+1')
Nani (55' pen.)
Miller (25'), Urso (36'), Nani (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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