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Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Although San Jose have performed above expectations under their new manager, we expect Los Angeles to have too much individual quality for them this weekend. The MLS Cup holders will be highly motivated by the possibility of heading towards the top of the Western Conference table with a victory, especially having failed to win their last league game.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
72.2% (-0.405 -0.41) 16.36% (0.464 0.46) 11.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-2.164 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (-2.577 -2.58)34.45% (2.578 2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.62% (-2.958 -2.96)56.38% (2.957 2.96)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.708 -0.71)8.33% (0.7081 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (-1.793 -1.79)29.04% (1.793 1.79)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-1.891 -1.89)41.05% (1.891 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-1.728 -1.73)77.59% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 72.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 11.44%
    Draw 16.36%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.672 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.75% (0.264 0.26)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.816 0.82)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.245 -0.25)
6-0 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.435 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.44%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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