Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
47.08% ( -0.58) | 24.87% ( 0.22) | 28.06% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% ( -0.73) | 47.97% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% ( -0.68) | 70.14% ( 0.68) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.54) | 20.43% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.13% ( -0.86) | 52.87% ( 0.86) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.12) | 31.07% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.13) | 67.39% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |