Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.13% ( 0.36) | 23.44% ( -0.1) | 21.42% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% ( 0.1) | 47.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30% ( 0.09) | 69.99% ( -0.09) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% ( 0.17) | 17.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% ( 0.29) | 47.47% ( -0.29) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.21) | 36.65% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.21) | 73.44% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 55.13% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |