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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Atlanta United

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Atlanta

Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Colorado
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta United

With the two most porous teams in the MLS going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting affair and goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Chicago Fire to come out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
47.87% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.014000000000003 0.01)46.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.012 0.01)68.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.87%
    Atlanta United 27.7%
    Draw 24.43%
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.7%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Giakoumakis (24')
Przybylko (90')
Herbers (34'), Teran (77'), Gimenez (80'), Dean (90+5')
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta

Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')

Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
gameweek 2
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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