Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
17.96% | 21.76% | 60.28% |
Both teams to score 52.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% | 45.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% | 67.76% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% | 38.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% | 75.69% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% | 14.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |