Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
We said: Nantes 1-1 Strasbourg
Five wins and two draws have been posted by each of Nantes and Strasbourg across the last 14 Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs since 2017, while the home side have only won one of the last seven head-to-head encounters, seemingly handing Strasbourg a slight psychological advantage.
A win for either side would provide them with a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, but we can see the spoils being shared in a frustrating score draw this time around.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1% . A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%) . The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result Nantes Draw Strasbourg 33.8% ( 0.25) 26.09% ( -0.04) 40.1% ( -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.56% ( 0.17)
49.12% ( 0.19) 50.88% ( -0.19)
27.24% ( 0.17) 72.76% ( -0.17)
71.39% ( 0.25) 28.6% ( -0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.59% ( 0.31) 64.4% ( -0.31)
75.02% ( -0.03) 24.98% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.37% ( -0.04) 59.63% ( 0.03)
Nantes 33.8%
Strasbourg 40.1%
Draw 26.09%
Nantes Draw Strasbourg 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.8% 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.1%
How you voted: Nantes vs Strasbourg
53
rhs 2.0
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