Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
35.1% | 27.12% | 37.77% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% | 54.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% | 65.84% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% | 28.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% | 63.84% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |