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Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AJ Auxerre

Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre

Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Auxerre

Both teams have showcased that they are not always the strongest at the back in terms of keeping clean sheets, and that should open this game up to feature plenty of goals. Montpellier HSC have been free-scoring in the first two fixtures, and that could play a part in them securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
41.66% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.69% (-0.093 -0.09) 33.65% (0.823 0.82)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.667 0.67)44.69% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.642 0.64)67.05% (-0.645 -0.64)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)21.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)54.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.818 0.82)25.71% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (1.1 1.1)60.63% (-1.104 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 41.66%
    Auxerre 33.65%
    Draw 24.68%
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Auxerre

Montpellier HSC
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Auxerre
11.8%
34
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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