Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lorient |
48.54% ( 0.3) | 26.35% ( -0.05) | 25.12% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.98% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( 0.02) | 76.93% ( -0.02) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( 0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( 0.21) | 56.85% ( -0.22) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% ( -0.2) | 37.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |