Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
54.51% | 24.16% | 21.33% |
Both teams to score 50.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% | 50.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% | 72.74% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% | 18.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% | 49.82% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.22% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.82% 1-2 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |