Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Bordeaux | Draw | Lille |
36.55% | 25% | 38.44% |
Both teams to score 57.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% | 45.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% | 67.99% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% | 24.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% | 58.97% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% | 23.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% | 57.54% |
Score Analysis |
Bordeaux | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |