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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
49.29% (0.467 0.47) 25.05% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.66% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.023 -0.02)72.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.18599999999999 0.19)20.45% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.299 0.3)52.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)34.23% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.372 -0.37)70.93% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.29%
    Alaves 25.66%
    Draw 25.05%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
70.5%
Draw
18.2%
Alaves
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
1-2
Villarreal
Joselu (80')
Ely (45'), Duarte (82')
Bacca (10'), Nino (89')
Quintilla (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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