Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
49.11% ( 0.38) | 23.78% ( -0.06) | 27.11% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.16% ( 0.05) | 43.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.77% ( 0.05) | 66.23% ( -0.06) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( 0.17) | 17.97% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.19% ( 0.29) | 48.81% ( -0.29) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -0.2) | 29.63% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( -0.25) | 65.67% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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