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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Roma


Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
FT

N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 17 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Roma

Despite optimism after Gotti secured success on his Lecce bow, Roma's momentum under De Rossi and the precedent in this fixture should see the Giallorossi claim their eighth Serie A win since January's managerial change. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
26.96% (0.518 0.52) 26.16% (-0.052 -0.05) 46.88% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.51 0.51)53.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.427 0.43)75.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.702 0.7)35.06% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.728 0.73)71.81% (-0.727 -0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.96%
    Roma 46.87%
    Draw 26.15%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
9.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
80.3%
137
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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